After a blemish-free July, the default rate for U.S. leveraged loans continues stubbornly low, holding at 1.97%, according to LCD.
The rate has been inside the historical norm of 3.1% since early in 2015, when the behemoth TXU/Energy Future default, which entailed more than $20 billion of outstanding loan debt, was part of the calculation (that issue dropped off the 12-month roll in April 2015).
U.S. leveraged loan defaults have remained scarce as the current issuer-friendly credit cycle heads into its tenth year.
One reason for the lack of defaults: corporate earnings continue robust, enabling borrowers to service debt they incur (unless they refinance it, of course).
Speaking of refinancing: Easy access to leveraged loans is another reason defaults have been rare.
With interest rates rising, institutional and retail investors have been throwing cash into this floating-rate asset class, allowing issuers to quickly refinance existing debt or – more alarming to some – structure the credits with few restrictions. In theory, these covenant-lite loans could allow borrowers to gloss over poor financial performance, with little warning for investors, until the company defaults. – Staff reports
This story was abstracted from analysis by LCD’s Rachelle Kakouris
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